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Forecast
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Current Conditions
Phillips Gap

Temp: 47.4°F
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Phillips Gap , NC
ASU Dark Sky Observatory, 1 mi E of Blue Ridge Pkwy

Forecast Last Updated at Saturday, February 27, 2021 at 12:48PM

Gray; Gradually Warmer

Friday's wedge of colder air was scoured this morning from southwest to northeast. We remain in a soupy airmass with a front stalled nearby. Expect areas of fog tonight into Sunday morning. Temperatures gradually warm today and again Sunday. Stray light showers are possible area-wide this afternoon, tonight and Sunday. The next front from the west arrives Monday. Expect more rain from midnight Sunday night until early Monday afternoon.

Saturday

Hi: 64 Lo: 52

Lots of clouds; Areas of fog; Stray, light showers possible; SW wind 5-15 mph, becoming light, but still breezy at higher elev's
Sunday

Hi: 68 Lo: 50

Cloudy; Scattered, light rain around; Steadier rain develops after midnight Sun. night; SW wind 5-15 mph
Monday

Hi: 52 Lo: 30

Remaining cloudy; Rain through early afternoon then tapering off; Some late-day clearing possible; Turning colder in the PM; NW wind 10-20 mph
Tuesday

Hi: 46 Lo: 32

Partly sunny; Cooler; Clouds return Tue. night; Rain develops late Tue. night (could be a wintry mix at start)
Wednesday

Hi: 48 Lo: 37

Rain tapers to showers by early afternoon; Maybe some lingering drizzle near the TN/NC boarder; Partial clearing late

Further Out

Thursday - Partly sunny; Relatively pleasant; High in the mid 50s; Low in the upper 30s
Friday - More clouds; Cool temperatures; High in the lower 50s; Low in the upper 30s

Forecast Discussion

We remain in a tug of war between colder air to the north and a Bermuda High to our southeast. Being in the middle of competing pulls and pushes, expect clouds and areas of fog with stray light showers possible. Today through Sunday, the warmer Bermuda High gradually takes a decisive edge on temperatures.

However, a front from the northwest moves through Monday with the next more pronounced period of rain--late Sunday night and Monday morning. After that, cooler air takes the tug of war win, for three days (Monday through Wednesday). Partial clearing commences Monday afternoon leading to a mostly clear and cooler Tuesday.

But no weather lasts long in this fast moving pattern. The next low from the Western Gulf moves across the Southeast Wednesday. Clouds return Tuesday night and rain is expected late Tuesday night until early afternoon Wednesday. Temperatures remain cool through Wednesday. Precipitation could begin as a wintry mix late Tuesday night.

Timing and track becoming more difficult with the low that follows. I took the more optimistic route Thursday and Friday--a dry and milder Thursday, then more clouds Friday with a low suppressed to our south Friday; however, other opinions for a wetter Friday hold merit. We'll have more confidence on Friday one way or another in a couple days. Regardless, colder weather is expected next weekend.

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