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NWS Severe Thunderstorm Watch (Ashe County)

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Jefferson , NC

Forecast Last Updated at Tuesday, June 30, 2015 at 12:36PM

Warmer, Becoming Active

The line of showers that came through this morning has exited to the east. A period of more sunshine will help give way to better coverage of showers and thundershowers this afternoon and early evening. The remainder of the week is generally more active (omit Wednesday) as a number of disturbances roll over the southern Appalachians in the vicinity of a stalled front. Thursday and Friday look to be the wettest days/afternoons.

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Hi: 76 Lo: 62

Partly sunny; Scattered PM t-showers; SW wind 5-15 mph, gusty Tue. night at higher elev's

Hi: 77 Lo: 62

Partly cloudy; Widely scattered afternoon & evening t-showers; West wind 5-15 mph

Hi: 74 Lo: 63

Mostly cloudy; Showers & t-storms a good bet; SW wind 5-15 mph & gusty

Hi: 75 Lo: 63

Partly to mostly cloudy; Scattered afternoon & evening t-showers

Hi: 77 Lo: 62

Partly cloudy; Scattered PM t-showers

Further Out

Sunday - Partly cloudy; Widely scattered PM t-showers; High in the upper 70s; Low in the lower 60s
Monday - Partly to mostly cloudy; Scattered afternoon and evening t-showers; High in the upper 70s; Low in the lower 60s

Forecast Discussion

A warm front pushed to our north late Monday bringing a return of warmer air (seasonal for late June) and an increase in humidity for the rest of the week. Another front approaches from the northwest Wednesday evening, but doesn't make it. The front flattens out and stalls from Virginia westwards to the Missouri River Valley and basically remains in the same position through the weekend.

Meanwhile, the upper air flow continues an orientation from northwest to southeast the next few days bringing with it several strong disturbances late in the week. Otherwise, there are not too many discernible surface features to speak of.

In terms of shower and storm coverage we think Thursday (especially Thursday) and Friday will be the wettest days of the week. Temperatures will be hampered by cloudy skies and rain. The 4th of July isn't a washout, but there will be scattered afternoon/evening thundershowers to contend with.


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