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Jefferson , NC

Forecast Last Updated at Saturday, November 22, 2014 at 5:38PM

Nice Saturday; Wet Sunday

Saturday was a pleasant day compared to the last week to ten days. Temperatures were milder with ample sunshine. Clouds increase tonight. Sunday, Gulf moisture overruns the region--a rainy day. Rain tapers off by midnight Sunday night, and temperatures rise through Sunday night. Monday will be the warmest day in two weeks, but is just a one-day anomaly in our cold pattern. Snow by Thanksgiving? It's possible. See the Forecast Discussion section for details.

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Hi: 49 Lo: 31

Increasing clouds late; Light South wind (but SW 10-20 mph up top tonight)

Hi: 46 Lo: 43

Cloudy; Rain, especially in the PM hours; Rising temps through Sun. night; Light SE wind (except 15-25 mph & gusty at higher elev's)

Hi: 61 Lo: 33

Partly to mostly cloudy; Mild daytime; Cannot rule out a shower; SW wind 5-15 mph & breezy, becoming NW Mon. night

Hi: 46 Lo: 30

Increasing PM clouds; Seasonal temperatures

Hi: 34 Lo: 26

Mostly cloudy; Snow or snow showers

Further Out

Thursday - Mostly cloudy; Colder; AM snow showers; High in the lower 30s; Low in the upper teens
Friday - Partly sunny; Cold; High in the lower 30s; Low near 20 degrees

Forecast Discussion

Today is one of the more pleasant days in the last couple weeks. Enjoy the sun with temperatures only slightly below averages for the date.

A strong low develops in Texas today. It moves NNE Sunday and will be in the Great Lakes region Monday. Ahead of this low, the Gulf of Mexico opens up providing lots of moisture and producing a rainy Sunday. Sunday will have a cool start, but temperatures will gradually rise during the day and right through Sunday night. Rain will taper off by midnight Sunday night.

The front associated with the Great Lakes low will not move through until Monday night; however, the bulk of moisture will be well to our north. With the front approaching Monday, we cannot rule out a shower. The most noticeable weather item Monday will be the warmest temperatures we have felt in two weeks.

Monday's warmth will be a one-day oddity in the current cold pattern. Tuesday will be partly cloudy with temperatures back to or just below seasonal norms.

The "fun" part of this forecast is Wednesday and Thanksgiving Day. Low pressure will be moving north, just east of the Atlantic Coast, with the next cold shot approaching from the MidWest. Computer guidance still varies greatly with the track of the low creating uncertainty for Wednesday's forecast. However, we moved the confidence meter up one notch today for snow on Wednesday. We also expect wrap-around snow showers Thanksgiving Day, especially in the morning hours, riding the return of colder air.

For the rest of the holiday weekend... Friday looks partly cloudy and cold. Saturday mostly clear and cool. Rain showers may return Sunday.


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