Forecast Last Updated at Sunday, December 8, 2013 at 7:14AM
East vs. West
It's the tale of east vs. west today. The western half of the region will be at or above freezing most of the day (with a few exceptions this morning). In the middle (Spruce Pine, Newland, Boone), temperatures will be below freezing for a while but crawl above freezing this afternoon. But east, close to the Blue Ridge and into SW Virginia, it will be below freezing in most spots all day (exception being south of Blowing Rock where it will sneak above freezing this afternoon). With rain falling (a spit of sleet here and there early this morning), those eastern areas will be a skating rink. Expect only a brief glaze in the middle, but up to .25" of ice accumulations along the eastern edge of the mountains and in "the Jeffersons". Alleghany County and into SW VA, there will be even more ice by this evening (.25" to .50"). Temperatures warm tonight changing precipitation to just rain from south to north. Monday will be milder and rainy.
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Hi: 33 Lo: 31
Cloudy; Rain (with a bit of freezing rain this morning) west; Freezing rain changing to rain east (remaining icy along the Blue Ridge into tonight); Rising temps tonight; SE wind 5-10 mph (except SW 15-25 mph & gusty up top)
Hi: 50 Lo: 36
Cloudy; Rain showers, but a lull in the late afternoon & evening; SW wind 5-15 mph (but gusting to 40 mph at higher elev's)
Hi: 40 Lo: 26
Clouds; Turning colder; Light rain ending as flurries in the early afternoon; Decreasing PM clouds; NW wind 5-15 mph becoming 10-20 mph at night with gusts to 40 mph
Hi: 42 Lo: 23
Mostly clear; Chilly
Hi: 36 Lo: 23
Mostly clear; Not quite as cold, but cold
Friday - Mostly clear start; Increasing PM clouds; Still rather cold; High in the upper 30s; Low in the mid 20s
Saturday - Mostly cloudy; Chance of light rain or light wintry mix in the PM; High in the upper 30s; Low near 30 degrees
Cold high pressure yesterday settled down into the Southern Appalachians Saturday. Low pressure is moving across the Southeast today spreading warm/moist air over the top of cold air at the surface. The result is a cloudy, cold day with rain (far western sections of the Southern Appalachians), freezing rain changing to rain for the middle, and freezing rain changing to rain tonight for the eastern edge of the mountains right along the Blue Ridge in NC. Damaging ice accumulations will be mostly limited to that eastern edge where .25" of ice accumulation is likely (and up to .50" from Alleghany Co NC and to the north).
Monday will be much milder with a front approaching from the west. Expect clouds and rain showers. The front will pass through in the afternoon and we'll have a lull in the rain Monday evening.
A trailing wave of low pressure will pass through the Southeast Tuesday. We'll have another round of rain late Monday night into Tuesday morning. Colder air wraps in behind this low; so, Tuesday will have steady or slowly falling temperatures. Precipitation may end as snow flurries later Tuesday morning. Clouds decrease Tuesday afternoon and evening.
Wednesday through Friday will be dry and seasonably cold. The core of this cold outbreak arrives Wednesday night making Thursday the coldest day of the trio.
Computer guidance varies greatly by Friday with the handling of the next low to move across the Southeast. We'll split the difference today with a chance of light rain or a light wintry mix Saturday afternoon/evening.
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