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Jefferson , NC

Forecast Last Updated at Wednesday, September 28, 2016 at 11:49AM


Today we are sandwiched between a front stalled just to our east and an upper-level low dropping into the Ohio River Valley. After early fog, we have partial sunshine with scattered late-afternoon and evening showers developing (mostly Watauga, Ashe, and Alleghany Counties). Thursday, a front associated with the Ohio Valley low moves through producing generally cloudy skies and scattered showers (maybe some thunder). The rain clears out Thursday evening, leaving us with a nice Friday, beautiful weekend, and dry weather well into next week.

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Hi: 72 Lo: 51

Scattered clouds; Late-afternoon & evening showers, mostly in Watauga, Ashe, Alleghany Cos.; Light wind becoming South 5-15 mph, then light tonight

Hi: 67 Lo: 51

Mostly cloudy; Scattered showers (thunder possible), mainly PM; Cooler; SE wind 5-15 mph

Hi: 67 Lo: 48

Scattered clouds; Pleasant; Light South wind

Hi: 68 Lo: 48

Lots of sunshine; Pleasant

Hi: 71 Lo: 50

Clear; Beautiful first Oct. weekend

Further Out

Monday - Bright & sunny; Gorgeous; High in the lower 70s; Low near 50 degrees
Tuesday - Mostly sunny then partly cloudy; Continued pleasant; High in the upper 60s; Low near 50 degrees

Forecast Discussion

The Eastern U. S. weather map is busy, but we are sitting in a narrow band of relatively nice weather. A front is stalled just to our east. An upper-level low is settling south into the Ohio Valley today where it will remain for a 2-3 days. A surface low will be in the Indiana-Ohio vicinity today through Friday, and a front will swing across the Ohio and Tennessee River Valleys passing through the Appalachians Thursday. After that, it's high pressure and clear sailing well into next week.

Wednesday has early fog, then partial sunshine. By late-afternoon, showers develop mostly in Watauga, Ashe, and Alleghany Counties. Isolated showers remain possible into tonight.

Expect more shower coverage Thursday as the front moves through. A thundershower is possible as well.

Friday and Saturday, the upper-level retrogrades slightly westward. With the front to our east, high pressure builds in from the west. The result will be an extended run of exceedingly pleasant weather centered on an absolutely gorgeous first weekend of October.

The Tropical Atlantic is about to spawn the next named storm, Matthew. Matthew will strengthen into a potent hurricane as it reaches the Eastern Caribbean and be south of Haiti and Cuba by early next week. We'll wait and see what happens from there.


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