NWS Special Weather Statement (Ashe County)

Current Conditions
Jefferson

Temp: 56.0°F

Forecast Last Updated at Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 6:59AM

Glorious Start to October

High pressure in the Eastern U. S. holds through Thursday. Daytime high temperatures will run 7-10 degrees warmer than averages. Longer nighttime now produce cool temperatures especially in deeper valleys. Today, Monday, and Wednesday will have some early valley fog; however, the overwhelming theme is severely nice weather. A big change comes late-week with two fronts moving through: one Friday night and another Saturday night. By next Monday morning, we'll have to consider valley frost potential.

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Sunday Hi: 75 Lo: 50 Partly cloudy after early AM fog; Pleasant; Light NE wind becoming Easterly

Monday Hi: 76 Lo: 51 Clear skied after brief early valley fog; Warmer than seasonal averages; Light East wind

Tuesday Hi: 75 Lo: 52 Mostly sunny after a some early clouds; Warm for early October; Light SE wind

Wednesday Hi: 76 Lo: 51 Mostly sunny after early valley fog; Unseasonably warm for Oct.

Thursday Hi: 75 Lo: 53 Becoming partly cloudy, then even more clouds Thur. night; Continued pleasant

Further Out

Friday - Mostly cloudy; A shower or two possible; Turning cooler; High in the upper 60s; Low in the upper 40s
Saturday - Partly to mostly sunny; Much cooler; High near 60 degrees; Low in the upper 30s

Forecast Discussion

High pressure is centered near Lake Erie and extends into the Southeast. It becomes firmly entrenched this week and will be dislodged late-week by a big pattern change by next weekend. The change will be a broad trough moving from the Great Lakes Friday and overtaking the East next weekend. Two fronts will lead the charge: one arriving Friday night, another arriving Saturday night.

Today through Thursday brings glorious weather. Daytime temperatures 7-10 degrees warmer than average with cool nights in valleys. Valley fog is possible early Sunday, Monday, and Wednesday mornings. This will almost certainly be the last long stretch of terrific weather this year. We'll have nice days but not 6 in a row.

Clouds increase Thursday into Friday. A few showers are possible Friday ahead of the first front. Friday will be a touch cooler but you will really feel the cool Saturday. Then the really cool stuff arrives Sunday. And we will be evaluating potential for our first valley frost next Monday morning. Dry weather returns Saturday and will hold for several days.

The u. S. faces no threat from the tropics this week, but hurricane season is NOT over. Tropical Storm Philippe is east of Guadeloupe, drifting NE. Tropical Storm Rina is NW of Phillipe and weakening as it drifts north.

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